![]() Last week, I wrote that Holzhauer isn’t breaking “Jeopardy!,” so much as he is “Jeopardy!” - he is the final, full embodiment of its long-term strategic trends. It’s here that Holzhauer has set himself far apart, even from a legend. (Jennings told me that Final Jeopardy clues are easier now than they were in his day.)Īnd thanks to the J! Archive, a fan-maintained archive of the show, and Jacob Bovee’s J-Archive-Parser, we can chart just how dramatically their Daily Double wagering has diverged. Jennings got 68 percent of his Final Jeopardy clues right Holzhauer has gotten 94 percent right. Jennings found 71 percent of his games’ Daily Doubles, answering 83 percent of them correctly Holzhauer has found 78 percent of his games’ Daily Doubles, answering 90 percent of them correctly. There are four opportunities to wager in a game of “Jeopardy!” - the three Daily Doubles and the Final Jeopardy round. 280, and a typical Coryat score was less than $11,000.) According to these measures, Holzhauer and Jennings are quite comparable - and very good.īut the two all-time greats diverge dramatically when it comes to wagered clues. (For context, the batting average of a typical contestant in the seasons before Jennings’s and Holzhauer’s runs began was around. Or we might consider “batting average” - the ratio of a player’s correct responses to his possible correct responses. It is an unofficial calculation meant to provide a metric for “hopefuls playing along at home to gauge their scores against the contestants playing on the show.” Jennings’s average Coryat during his run was $27,861 Holzhauer’s is $29,567. A Coryat score is a player’s score on “Jeopardy!” if all of the wagering is disregarded (so, Daily Doubles count for their base value on the grid, and Final Jeopardy doesn’t count at all). Take, for example, his “Coryat score,” named for the former contestant Karl Coryat, who conceived of the method. “Jeopardy!,” like any other self-respecting competitive pursuit, has the analytics to help make sense of Holzhauer’s run. That analysis also gives Holzhauer a 15 percent chance of winning at least 75 games, which would eclipse Jennings’s DiMaggio-ish streak. The model uses contestants’ scores going into Final Jeopardy to predict whether they will win their next game and how long their streak will last, and it projects that Holzhauer’s streak will extend nearly 48 games. At this rate, Holzhauer will eclipse Jennings if he wins just 17 more games - and he’s likely to do that, according to a model built by The Jeopardy! Fan, a blog written by … well, you know. Holzhauer is winning about $74,000 per game on average, more than twice the $34,000 that Jennings averaged during his run.
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